New article from BONUS GOHERR explores how backcasting recommendations work across exploratory scenarios, using Baltic herring as an empirical case
Sarkki and Pihlajamäki (2018) propose advancements to scenario literature by theorizing the question how normative recommendations work across exploratory scenarios using Baltic herring as an empirical case. The results point to the need to simultaneously analyse multiple exploratory scenarios; set of normative recommendations instead of single recommendation; implications of multiple drivers on single recommendations; implications of recommendations for multiple stakeholders; and synergies and trade-offs between recommendations.
Highlights of the paper:
Baltic herring can function as a sustainable protein source in the future.
Methodologies integrating normative and exploratory scenarios needed
Theory to understand HOW normative goals behave across futures
Multiple drivers, stakeholders, scenarios and goals must be looked simultaneously.
Sarkki, S. and Pihlajamäki, M., 2018. Baltic herring for food: Shades of grey in how backcasting recommendations works across exploratory scenarios. Technological Forecasting and Social Change. (accepted, in production). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2018.11.001